Violent
Crime and Rural Life: A Test of Social Disorganization Theory in
By Sheryl L. Van Horne
Abstract
Historically there has been very
little attention given to crimes in rural areas. This study examines what
effect 'rurality' has on structural explanations of
crime and applies variables related to social disorganization at the county
level, while controlling for 'rurality' and examining
the role that 'rurality' plays.
It has long since been assumed that
social disorganization theory applies to urban areas, but logic dictates that
structural concerns can also affect rural areas.
This study examines both traditional
measures of social disorganization theory, as well as variables related to the
systemic reformulation of social disorganization theory, using 2000
The specific structural concerns
that are measured include: family disruption, unemployment, poverty, and
community cohesion/participation.
Social Disorganization Theory
Social disorganization theory has
its origins in Durkheim’s (1933) concept that crime
is normal when there is a breakdown of social controls; this breakdown of
social controls is associated with rapid social change. Social disorganization
theory arose out of a study in
Since then, there
have been slightly different conceptualizations of social disorganization. For
example, Bursik (1988) defines social disorganization
as “an inability of community members to achieve shared values or to solve
jointly experienced problems’ (as cited in Osgood and Chambers 2003: 1). Bursik and Webb (1982) explain that the greater residential
instability in a neighborhood, the greater the difficulty in preventing or
controlling crime, since formal and informal associations within the community
cannot be maintained over time. Veysey and Messner (1999: 159) explain social disorganization as
operating “through the processes of value and norm conflicts, cultural change
and cultural vacuums, and the weakening of primary relationships” which lead to
a reduction in both internal and external social control.
Additional
research has expanded the understanding of social disorganization. Kasarda and Janowitz (1974)
understood the local community to be a “complex system of friendship and
kinship networks and formal and informal associational ties rooted in family
life and ongoing socialization processes…fashioned by the large scale
institution of mass society” (329). According to their understanding of social
disorganization theory, one of the most important variables is length of
residency. The idea is that the longer one resides in an area the more likely
they will be assimilated to the culture (Kasarda and Janowitz 1974). In their study they examined five key
independent variables: population size, population density, length of
residency, social class, and stage in life cycle (dichotomized as 21-49 or 50
and over) and examined their impact on local social bonds. They found that the
size and population density were not as significantly related to attachment to
the community as was length of residency.
According to Sampson and
Further research
has incorporated the importance of institutions. Kornhauser’s
(1978) examination of social disorganization theory as a model of social
control spurred a renewed emphasis in the research on social disorganization
theory, and, more specifically, allowed for the emergence of the systemic reformulation
of social disorganization theory. More recently, Bursik
and Webb (1982) explain that the greater residential instability in a
neighborhood, the greater the difficulty in preventing or controlling crime,
since formal and informal associations within the community cannot be
maintained over time. Even more recent research has focused on poverty as a key
variable because it can influence mobility and racial heterogeneity (Bursik and Grasmick 1993).
Even more
recently the term collective efficacy
has been used to refer to neighborhoods that are not socially disorganized.
There are a number of studies
that have found a relationship between incivilities, such as “untended property”
or “untended people and behavior” (Wilson and Kelling
1985). Specifically these incivilities include graffiti, broken windows, winos
in doorways, and the presence of illegal drug activities (Covington and Taylor,
1991; Lewis and Salem, 1981; Rohe and Burby 1988). Such conditions have been referred to as
“signs of crime” (Skogan and Maxfield
1981), “early signs of danger” (Stinchcombe et al.
1980), disorder (Skogan 1990), a “preclude to
trouble” (Skolnick 1966), and “cues to danger” (Warr
1990). Thus, such conditions are important, and they may be relevant to a study
of social disorganization, being indicators of disorganization themselves.
The Shift in Importance of Rural Crime
Historically,
social disorganization theory has been applied predominantly to urban areas.
Sampson and
Yet, most people
do not live in urban areas.
The central
Appalachian region, including many counties of West Virginia and Virginia, have
experienced strong levels of out-migration (Duncan 2001 60-86),
underemployment, a decline of two-parent families (Friedman & Lichter 1998: 91-109), and significant economic
underdevelopment (White 1987: 47-66).
Each of these variables is related to a significant component of social
disorganization theory and may help explain violent crime rates in rural and
non-metropolitan areas of
Additionally, it
is important to criminology and criminological theory to test and retest
theories. A theory that applies to a more diverse area or population is a
better theory. Osgood and Chambers (2000: 82) note that “the rural-urban dimension
is itself an essential aspect of communities, and our current theories of
communities and crime would be far more useful if they apply to the entire
range of this dimension”. Osgood and Chambers (2003) reiterate the fact that
applying theory to different types of places make the theory much stronger.
There has been, and continues to be, an association between urban areas and
crime. Certainly, crime occurs in rural areas as well and it is important to
understand the trends throughout the
Although a few
tests of social disorganization theory have been applied to rural areas, there
is still much to be examined. Of the few studies focusing on crime in rural
areas that exist, some focus on youth violence (Osgood and Chambers 2000),
while some focus on rural areas in Australia (Jobes
et al. 2004). Social disorganization theory has been used to analyze homicide
rates among American Indians on reservations (Bachman, 1991). A few more recent
studies have applied social disorganization theory to rural areas with success.
For example, in one study in
Methods
This analysis
aims to answer whether violent crime in Virginia and West Virginia counties of
the country can be explained by examining structural variables, namely by using
social disorganization theory, and to what extent such variables correlate to
violent index crimes (defined as murder, rape, robbery, and aggravated
assault). Additionally, this research seeks to examine whether the systemic
reformulation is a better predictor of violent crime than the traditional model
of social disorganization model. Studies examining the role of structural
correlates of crime have traditionally focused on four independent variables-
population homogeneity, residential mobility, poverty, and family disruption.
The systemic
reformulation of social disorganization theory notes that neighborhoods are not
isolated; rather, they are part of a larger network. Thus, the systemic
reformulation focuses attention on system components to examine the patterns of
exchange and the ties among the components of the system. The main claim of
this reformulation is that through those regulatory networks, the regulatory
capacity of neighborhoods become actualized. Hence, this research examines
variables such as education, employment, as well as voter participation to
determine the extent to which participatory norms (going to school, being
employed in the workforce, being married, and voting) are correlated with
violent crime.
The unit of
analysis for this project is counties in
Concentrated Disadvantage
A number of
studies examining the structural correlates of crime indicate that there are
certain areas that are highly impoverished, with many female-headed single
parent households with children under 18, a high percentage of the population
living in poverty, a higher concentration of minorities, and a higher rate of
inequality of GINI household incomes. A number of studies have found that
family structure correlates with higher crime rates (see for example
Sampson1986). Numerous studies of social disorganization theory examine “family
disruption” defining it as the percentage of female headed households with
children under 18 (Osgood and Chambers 2000: 93). Rountree and Warner
(1999) examined crime in
Residential Mobility
One of the key
variables historically in the application and understanding of social
disorganization theory is residential mobility. The more transitory people in a
community, the less cohesiveness in that community, the less unified the
community, and the greater likelihood of competing norms and lack of
assimilation to community norms. Sampson and
Dissimilarity Index
The racial difference of
household composition could be an indicator of differences in norms and values
that might lead to more disorder. A few
studies (Osgood and Chambers 2000; Sampson and Groves 1989; Warner and Pierce
1993) examine dissimilarity in their examinations of social disorganization
theory. This indicator ranges from 0 (no dissimilarity) to .5 (the most
dissimilarity). A score of zero would indicate more ethnic homogeneity, while a
.5 would indicate the most ethnic heterogeneity. This score is calculated by
the following formula: 1-∑(pi2) where pi is
the proportion of households that are white or nonwhite (Blau
1977; Osgood and Chambers 2000).
Family Disruption
Divorce is a
violation of the participatory norms of a society which results in the
reduction of parochial level controls. Additionally, the departure of the
spouse from the neighborhood reduces informal controls. Thus, the percent of
people in an area who were currently divorced or legally separated was
calculated.
Rurality
This was defined as the percent
of the population living in rural areas according to Census data. Specifically,
the number of individuals living in rural areas was divided by the total number
of people living in that county.
Unemployment
Unemployment is operationalized as the percent of the population over 16
who were unemployed.
Education
Individuals are socialized by the
educational system to conform to societal expectations. While not a perfect
assumption, the fact that someone completed high school indicates that they are
more committed to community institutions like the labor market and the schools
themselves. Additionally, students learn compliance in the schools as well as
better problem-solving techniques so that they want to avoid violence and can.
Therefore, the percent of individuals over 25 years old who completed high school
was calculated for each county.
Voter Participation
Voting can also be an indicator
of participatory norms. This is a variable that is not often utilized, although
there are some studies in which it has been related to crime rates (Coleman
2002). Voter participation is operationalized as the
percent of residents over 18 who voted in the 2000 election.
Social Disorder
Another possible
indication of social disorganization is disorderly crimes, so an index of
crimes of disorder was also analyzed to determine its role in understanding
violent index offenses. The crimes that are included in the disorder index are:
prostitution and commercialized vice, disorderly conduct, vagrancy,
drunkenness, DUIs, liquor law violations, vandalism,
drug sales, and drug possession. This relates to the Broken Windows Theory (see
Wilson and Kelling 1985), but it such low-level
disorder can have an impact on the general disorganization of the community.
Additionally, there are numerous studies that backs the claim that social
disorder can lead to an increased fear of crime, which in turn can cause people
to withdraw from society and, therefore, weaken informal controls.
Results
Between the 190
Table 1. Traditional and Systemic Reformulation
Results for all Virginia and
|
Variables |
Model 1 Traditional |
Model 2
Traditional + Disorder |
Model 3
Systemic |
Model 4 Systemic + Disorder |
||||
|
|
B |
β |
B |
β |
B |
β |
B |
β |
|
Concentrated
disadvantage |
.435*** |
.552*** |
.423*** |
.536*** |
.306* |
.368* |
.284* |
.342* |
|
Moved within
last 5 years |
.013 |
.149 |
.013 |
.144 |
.015 |
.164 |
.014 |
.155 |
|
Born in state |
-.004 |
-.076 |
-.004 |
-.074 |
-.003 |
-.073 |
-.003 |
-.061 |
|
Disimilarity index |
-.939* |
-.201* |
-.904* |
-.194* |
-.867 |
-.217 |
-.762 |
-.191 |
|
Divorce |
.137*** |
.265*** |
.136*** |
.263*** |
.111** |
.214** |
.114** |
.222** |
|
Urban population |
.001 |
.047 |
.001 |
.029 |
.004 |
.161 |
.003 |
.145 |
|
Disorder index |
|
|
.073 |
.054 |
|
|
.131 |
.097 |
|
Unemployment |
|
|
|
|
.013 |
.069 |
.016 |
.084 |
|
Education |
|
|
|
|
-.003 |
-.033 |
-.001 |
-.014 |
|
Voter Participation |
|
|
|
|
-.746 |
-.074 |
-.762 |
-.075 |
|
R2 |
.381 |
.383 |
.299 |
.308 |
||||
|
F score |
(6,183) 18.736 |
(7,182) 16.119 |
(9,147) 6.98 |
(10,146) 6.49 |
||||
***p<.001;
**p<.01; *p<.05
The first model examines concentrated
disadvantage, percent of the population that moved within the past 5 years, the
percent of the population that had moved within the last five years, the
percent of the community born in state, the dissimilarity index, the percent
divorced, and the percent of the population living in urban areas. This model
is similar to the traditional formulation of social disorganization theory,
although it takes social disorganization theory to a higher level, by examining
the principle components score of multiple factors indicating concentrated
disadvantage, as well as a dissimilarity index that examines the proportion of
households occupied by white versus non-white occupants. The second model adds social disorder to the
multiple regression. The third model examines the systemic reformulation of
social disorganization by adding indicators for educational, employment and
voter participation. Finally, the last model adds social disorder to the
regression. All of the models were significant, but the proportion of variation
in violent crime rates that is accounted for by the independent variables
differs slightly in each model, ranging from .299 to .383. The best model
appears to be the traditional model that also examined the effects of social
disorder on violent crime rates.
Only three of the
variables examined were significantly correlated to the natural log of violent
crime in the analyses of all counties: concentrated disadvantage, the
dissimilarity index, and the percent divorced. The most significant relationship
was between concentrated disadvantage and violent crime rates in the first two
models and between divorce and violent crime rates in the second two
models. Because of the skewed nature of
the variable and the assumptions of multiple regression that assume a normal
distribution, the natural log of social disorder was calculated. While it was
hypothesized that social disorder would explain violent crime, it appears that
adding the variable adds to the variance explained by the models; however, social
disorder was not statistically significant in either model.
Interestingly
enough, the dissimilarity index became insignificant when the systemic
variables were added to the model. This indicates that the racial similarities
or differences may be more about differences in education, employment, or voter
participation than race. In other words, there may be significant racial
differences in educational attainment, employment, and/or voter participation.
Table 2. Traditional and Systemic Reformulation Results
Regressions Run on Rural Counties Only
|
Variables |
Model 1 Traditional |
Model 2
Traditional + Disorder |
Model 3
Systemic |
Model 4 Systemic +
Disorder |
||||
|
|
B |
β |
B |
β |
B |
β |
B |
Β |
|
Concentrated
disadvantage |
.626*** |
.741*** |
.700*** |
.828*** |
.561* |
.663* |
.637** |
.754** |
|
Moved within
last 5 years |
-.002 |
-.010 |
-.007 |
-.041 |
-.010 |
-.062 |
-.008 |
-.049 |
|
Born in state |
-.004 |
-.066 |
-.006 |
-.087 |
.000 |
.010 |
-.003 |
-.045 |
|
Disimilarity index |
-1.953** |
-.516** |
-2.187*** |
-.578*** |
-1.739 |
-.460 |
-2.104* |
-.556* |
|
Divorce |
.149** |
.293** |
.120 |
.235 |
.134* |
.262* |
.112 |
.220 |
|
Disorder index |
|
|
-.294 |
-.203 |
|
|
-.273 |
-.189 |
|
Percent unemployment |
|
|
|
|
.015 |
.120 |
-.008 |
-.041 |
|
Education |
|
|
|
|
-.006 |
-.029 |
|
|
|
Voter Participation |
|
|
|
|
-2.113 |
-.196 |
-1.001 |
-.093 |
|
R2 |
.378 |
.411 |
.395 |
.416 |
||||
|
F score |
(5,47) 5.721 |
(6,46) 5.351 |
(8,44) 3.591 |
(8,44) 3.916 |
||||
***p<.001;
**p<.01; * p<.05
All of the above models were
statistically significant, although some only at the .01 level. This is most
likely due to the relatively few cases and higher number of variables. By examining
the r-square, it becomes obvious that social disorder adds to both models’
explanation of variance to an even greater extent than the previous set of
models run on all
In terms of the variables
themselves, the principle components factor score for concentrated disadvantage
was consistently associated with violent crime rates. However, when adding institutional
variables like voter participation rates and unemployment rates, the
significance of concentrated disadvantage, including poverty, the GINI
household index, and female-headed households with children under 18 was
reduced.
Discussion
Since much of the
country is not urban, it is important to know whether the same theories of
crime that were originally tailored to urban sectors of the country can be
applied to non-urban areas of the United States, and other countries. Since
social disorganization theory helps explain violent crime in rural areas of
Clearly, any
research design has limitations. This research has a few significant
limitations. First, since the analysis examines crimes using official data any
problems with differential enforcement and reporting of crime exist.
Additionally, it is a cross-section which may only tell one what has happened
at that one point in time, not what might exist in the future or what has
happened in the past. However, since social disorganization theory concepts are
correlated to violent crime rates, further investigation is necessary to
determine what other variables may be correlated to violent crime rates, if there
are better indicators of the various concepts of social disorganization.
Finally, a test of social disorganization theory is best
at the neighborhood level; however, much of the research on rural areas
indicate that each county has a different culture and that there is generally a
significant amount of similarities within towns in such counties. Additionally,
census tract data has been criticized because it does not necessarily
differentiate between neighborhoods. Thus, county level data, while not ideal,
still can tell us a great deal about applications of social disorganization and
may be most applicable for rural analyses.
Conclusion
Social disorganization theory
applies to rural areas as well as non-rural areas. The variables associated
with the systemic reformulation of social disorganization seem to play a
greater role in rural areas. Clearly, this research contains a very small
sample and further research needs to be undertaken to examine if this is true
in all rural areas.
While many rural
areas may be less disorganized, as early researchers presumed it is important
to understand what sociological variables correlate with this disorganization
and in what areas. The counties of one state may have high correlations between
a small percent of the population graduating from high school and violent
crime, while counties of another state show no significant correlation. Surely
educational attainment is correlated to the labor force and what skills are
necessary to maintain employment and remain above the poverty line.
There is a
definite need for more research that is needed with respect to rural crime.
This study is only the beginning. Additional research should examine different
types of crimes and the structural correlates of such crimes. Furthermore,
qualitative analyses should be conducted that examine in greater detail why
relevant variables affect crime rates. Further research should concentrate more
on the systemic reformulation of social disorganization theory since it appears
to be a better predictor of violent crime rates. Additional variables that
measure collective efficacy should also be examined further.
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[1] The 410 counties in